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Looks like our "invest" has become disorganized, and lost some of it's central convection. There is some other open feature by the leeward islands, but there is also some decent southerly shear. A major pattern change has taken shape over the east coast, with a 500 mb ridge now over the east coast, and a trof on the west coast. Right now, teleconnections are not favorable for a "southeast ridge", so for now looks like a wet June for Florida. BTW, was there a southeast ridge last summer during June and July? I need my memory jogged. |