Noon June 8th Update
Pressures are dropping and it may be that a depression is forming in the Western Caribbean now. Recon is scheduled to go out there this afternoon to check.
We're definitely watching. Folks along the Northern and Eastern Gulf Coasts will want to watch this system over the next few days.

See Clark's Blog Entry below for more information on this system.

11:46AM Update
Focus is turning toward the Western Caribbean now, as Jason Kelley comments in his blog below. The outlook now brings attention to this area, which is near the Western Caribbean and over the Central America area. If it persists expect to see a recon flight out there tomorrow. It'll be worth watching.

Western Caribbean Chances for Development into a Tropical Depression/Storm
Code:


forget it) 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 (sure thing)

          [--------*-------------]

Original Update

There's an early interest spot out in the Caribbean right now, toward the northeastern section. It has a little bit of potential to develop, but I wouldn't expect into much. It has a slight window it could become a depression in over the next few days, but it's not all that likely. Worth watching, however.

Pulling up the old development potential scale it would be:
Code:


forget it) 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 (sure thing)

          [---*------------------]

Nothing has developet yet, of course, but the Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico at the very least will be seeing a decent rain event. We'll keep watch. Personally I don't think these areas ill be our first development of the year.

Event Related Links
Animated model plots of new disturbance area

The Caribbean Hurricane Page - updates from the islands
Caribbean Island Weather Reports