Clark
(Meteorologist)
Tue Jun 07 2005 10:44 PM
Re: Model Runs

Rabbit -- that would be a fair assumption to make, especially early in its lifecycle. All depends on how much that shear weakens, IMO, to see whether or not it becomes more symmetric...and whether or not it intensifies beyond a weak area of low pressure.

As an aside, there's nothing really new to note on the 10:30pm TWO. Two distinct masses of convection are present: one near the low itself over land, and another west of Jamaica. It's the former that bears watching, of course, but it'll take some consolidation of the whole feature before we get a lot going there (if we do at all). I'd feel better about this thing's short-term chances if it were a bit further east, but it is June after all...



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