Looks like it's coming from Louisiana, and it looks like it's got a little while before it arrives. So, we got a little bit of time to speculate before we get more information. It looks like the center is around 17N 84.5W and moving due north. Using good ole Mark I eyeball on the sat loops, if the circulation is closed... it is just barely closed. It's a real coin toss to say if recon will generate a vortex data message, But I'll go ahead and say yes they will. The storm is generating T numbers of 1.0/1.0 and there seems to be enough organization to give it the benefit of the doubt (particularly with the increasing convection near the center).

any other thoughts?
-Mark