got a hunch that it will get up to hurricane in the south central gulf late on friday, then near steady on its way in, maybe weakening slightly near landfall. think that will be sunday afternoon near perdido bay (fl/al border).. maybe just east of where ivan crossed last year. an earlier landfall will be further west, probably a weak sheared system. later will be more to the east, probably the same relative intensity (borderline ts/hurricane). i don't think louisiana or anywhere east of apalachicola gets hit... somewhere in the middle, most likely pascagoula over to navarre.
HF 2339z08june