thats the caveat.. a new center in the better environment to the east is the pathway to a much stronger storm. all of that mid-level dry air got in the center today and nixed the tightening/organization process.. the convective bands to the east keeping the inflow forcing on outer bands exacerbated the situation. there's still lots of that 'robber convection' as i call it away to the east, and streaming northwest along the depression's edge in the easterly flow. if the center were to jump over into that we'd have a hurricane in 36 hrs.. probably won't though.
do think it will get to tropical storm tomorrow.. figured on slow, but it's actually going a bit slower than i'd reckoned.
HF 0621z09june