Arlene looks set to be quite a rain maker - especially for areas east of where the centre tracks! Convection in the eastern semi-circle is pretty impressive, but in the western semi-circle it is all but non-existent. I think Arlene will remain a pretty one sided storm throughout, with little in the way of convection making it on the west side. Still reckon it will cross Cuba as a 50 mph TS tonight, and then track north in the GOM. I also still think we are looking at a landfall near or just east of Mobile, AL, as a strong TS on the weekend.
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Re: Tropical Storm Arlene Forms in the Western Caribbean