jth - I agree. I probably should've been more explicit with my locations; my mistake. However, it's really tough to tell without better visible satellite imagery & actual recon data. This could also be a case like several storms in the past approaching the Windwards -- the low-level circulation dissipates, despite a well-defined mid-level circulation, and the overall system weakens from here on out. Given little in the way of substantial evidence either way, we'll likely see status quo at 5p from the NHC.
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Re: hunch