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Well i have been calling for a Mobile, AL, landfall or just to the east since this thing developed, and i dont plan on changing that yet Visible imagery would seem to suggest multiple low-level centres with Arlene, making it difficult to track for sure. Interesting that she hasnt sped up yet, and is still trundling north at 8 mph. With this slower motion, and the expected improvement in upper-level conditions by late Friday, we could see some significant strengthening prior to a gulf coast landfall - providing she can maintain at least some organisation til after her passage over Cuba. |