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I took a long look at the satellite loop over the system and the loop between 1545Z and 2145Z shows a slow drift to the N, but I don't see any evidence of a new center, and the center is currently exposed. Between the upper trough in GOM, the shear which appears to be slackening, it begs the question with the dry entrainment affecting it to the west, we could be looking at a hybrid system and as you know those systems tend to have a large circulation envelope. I don't buy the new vortex with what I'm seeing on the visible satellite. If I were to look at the water vapor; maybe, the visible clearly shows a closed circulation away from the convection; though it is not too far away. It is clearly not in a good environment to wind up with the upper trough to the west and it's dry air. |