Hi there, in my opinion I do think she is forming a new center. Probably near 85 and 22

Water vapor does show extreme damaging shear on the western side. However ir4 show that a better circle defined thunderstorm activity. the south side of her is very defined curve in ir4 imagery.dvorak at the 8:30 image has heavy thunderstorms in the nw corner and se corner at the time.

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc-bin/tc_hom...F_NAME=al012005
However, in scat imagery for wind direction still shows the center where nhc has it. I dont even see another cirulation. So im half and half now, lol

Tell me what you thing at my novice explaination.