My thinking is unchanged in the overview...I still think a Mobile-ish landfall as a Strong TS looks pretty good...and if there has to be an adjustment then it would have to be to the east, but not radically so. I have faith that the NW turn will happen, if it hasn't already begun. Arlene is trying to organize, but as Clark accurately described this morning, the core structure is still somewhat disjointed and rough...if it firms up a bit and develops a coherent center, then we could see a minimal Cat 1 prior to landfall, but I think we do see some weakening prior to landfall as well.