Since it's getting dark it's quite hard to see, but if you stare really closely yes some type of depression in the CDO is starting to form ( http://www.goes.noaa.gov/GIFS/HUVS.JPG ). I digress. The storm is still very much un-organized, with still a dry slot pushing ne into the sw corner of the storm ( http://www.goes.noaa.gov/GIFS/HUWV.JPG ) .
But a large 500 mb ridge dominates the GOM providing quite good coniditions for the storm to develop. That spike of 30 + C waters leading to the mouth of the mississippi (probably due to eutrophication) might pull the storm to the west more then the models anticipate. Just a hypothesis.