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So many centers..and now at 11/0615Z, another possible new center and it's moving due West along 27.5N. Looks like 2 distinct centers, one devoid of Tstms, the other the new MCC moving due west inside a larger cyclonic envelope. I was about to write, I'm sticking with Mobile-Pensacola, but this has me scratching my head. I don't see anything in the upper air environment to change the NNW course towards the coast...the 200mb ridge has strengthened over FL and SE USA as her outflow indicates; but 850, 700 and 500, show continued slight weakening or neutral heights over past 24 hours. I can't imagine what the NHC boys are thinking now...so many centers; which one? Safe to say, this is a storm we don't concentrate on the center; the action is well away from the center at the moment with the exception of this new development. |