1st post for 2005, great to be back, looking forward to an active but NOT destructive tropical season, hopefully most will be fish spinners. Saw this in the aftternoon S Fla discussion, could be a water-logged weekend especially Sunday for S Fla.
EXTENDED PERIOD...POSITIVELY TILTED TROUGH REASSERTING ITSELF FROM
THE GREAT LAKES FRIDAY NIGHT INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO BY SATURDAY AS
THE SURFACE RIDGE IS SUPPRESSED SOUTHWARD...SIGNALING A RETURN TO A
WET PATTERN FOR SOUTH FLORIDA. GFS EVEN DEVELOPS A WEAK LOW NEAR
WESTERN CUBA SATURDAY NIGHT AND MOVES IT NEAR THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA
GULF COAST SUNDAY NIGHT BEFORE MOVING IT ACROSS THE PENINSULA BY
MONDAY AFTERNOON. WINDS SUNDAY GO BACK TO A SOUTHEAST FLOW IN
RESPONSE. STRONG WINDS ALOFT WOULD MEAN MORE OF A SUBTROPICAL
CHARACTER. GFS SHOWS A SLUG OF MOISTURE WITH POTENTIALLY HEAVY RAIN
LATE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY FOR THE WATERLOGGED SOUTHWEST GULF COAST. A
NEW JUNE RAINFALL RECORD FOR NAPLES IS ASSURED IF THIS SCENARIO PLAYS
OUT AS PROGGED. ITS STILL EARLY AND THE GFS HAS BEEN TOO FAST OF
LATE SO WILL NOT BUY THIS SOLUTION COMPLETELY JUST YET BUT WILL
TREND IN THAT DIRECTION.

TG