i usually only run through gfs runs to keep up to date.. cause it goes many days out in advance. some of the other globals had been more adamant about creating a coastal low near the SE late in the weekend.. gfs finally has it's version.. the upper energy currently generating the mcc diving se over the lower mississippi valley skimming the ne gulf and then briefly deepening as it moves up the se coast. i was thinking more of a tropical connection here, big moisture plume or something.. but not seeing it yet. the caribbean logjam fed into 92L and jetted out.. the weakness in the ridge should reconfigure further west near the yucatan going into next week. the 93L disturbance may have some copycat bad weather in the region in the coming days.. maybe over on the pacific side or in the ne caribbean. if we get anything in the coming days that'll probably be the source region, anyhow. nothing big the models are latching onto at least. HF 1928z17june
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