94L has a narrow window to do anything -- and looks more impressive on the microwave imagery from the NRL webpage than I figured it would -- but even as the upper-low just to its west dies out (lowering the shear but weakening the upper-level support for the convection), the trough and associated upper low near Florida is on its way to do its best with this feature.

QuikSCAT missed the storm for the most part on the morning pass; we'll see if the evening pass captures it or not. What did come through, though, didn't suggest a surface feature at that time, though there are hints that one may be present now. The aforementioned microwave imagery suggested a weak banded structure to the south of where a developing circulation might be, but that could also be an artifact of the convective pattern at the time. Last visible images of the night are inconclusive; there appears to be some turning, but moreso at the midlevels than anything else.

I still don't give this thing much of a chance to develop -- if it doesn't do it rapidly, it likely won't at all -- and most of the convective energy should get caught up in the Florida trough as it moves offshore over the next day or two. Another wet few days for Hispaniola, unfortunately, but not a strong candidate for tropical development.