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The most recent Sat. Pics. suggest the tropical wave axis is along 88W and continues to progress generally NW'd. The BOC is under a shear environme along of strong SW flow along the border of the trough to its west and the approaching tropical wave from the east. the shear will prevent rapid development in the BOC, in my opinion. The E. GOM is the diffluence of the wave and the trough and general movement of the moisture on the east side of the wave axis is NW'd and then around the ridge in the Atlantic... NE of Florida There are no signs of any development there...pretty consistent with the 11:30 TWD. |