7:30PM update
Tropical Storm Bret has formed in the Bay of Campeche.

6PM update
Tropical Depression Two forms in Bay of Campeche, it is expected to make landfall into Mexico. We'll be watching. It has a very good chance of becoming Tropical Storm Bret before landfall.

Original Update

The area to watch this week is in the Bay of Campeche, in the southwestern Gulf. This area has a chance to develop, but it is very close to land and will likely landfall on the Mexican coast before it can gain too much strength.
The conditions at it are good for development, so it will likely develop if it can stay over water long enough . Those along that part of the Mexican coastline will very likely have to deal with depression or weak tropical storm level conditions.

Other than that, there isn't all that much going on this week, and I hope it stays that way for a good while. But it's interesting to look at the waves off Africa, but this time of year I don't expect much from them.

The area in the Bay of Campeche likely to head into Mexico

Dvorak T-Numbers for here support that as well.

Event Related Links:

Animated Model Plot of Tropical Storm Bret

Model Plot Graphic from the South Florida Water Management District of Bret

New Recon Decoder

Nice Color Satellite Image of the storm area