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TROPICAL DISCUSSION - INTERNATIONAL DESKS NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD 220 PM EDT THU JUN 30 2005 TUTT LOW FORECAST JUST NORTH OF HONDURAS NEAR 16N 86W AT 24 HRS WILL MOVE WEST INTO NORTHERN GUATEMALA BY 48 HRS AND TURN TO THE NORTHWEST MOVING INTO THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO NEAR 22N 92W BY 72 HRS. THE TUTT LOW WILL ADVECT ITCZ MOISTURE NORTHWARD INTO HISPANIOLA AND PUERTO RICO EARLY IN THE PERIOD AND JAMAICA THROUGH 72 HRS. EXPECT RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 20-40MM/DAY WITH MAXIMA OF 40-60MM/DAY. AS TUTT DRIFTS WEST EXPECT IT TO ENHANCE CONVECTION OVER NICARAGUA...HONDURAS...BELIZE...GUATEMALA AND SOUTHERN MEXICO. AS THE LOW INTERACTS WITH ITCZ MOISTURE OVER THIS REGION...EXPECT DAILY RAINFALL OF 15-25MM/DAY WITH MAXIMA OF 40-60MM/DAY MAINLY AFTER 24 HRS. If you look real close. At the SW Caribbean. You can see a vortice center (eye-like feature), on the follwing links. http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/VNG12-15152005181.jpg http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/VNG12-15452005181.jpg Much better version at this link. http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/GOES15452005181aOUVnr.jpg |