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I have to agree with HF on strength with this one, it's heading into increasingly warmer sst's with decreasing shear 200 to 850 hPa shear. The only limiting factor to the strength would be as Clark said the chance of it hitting land. Climatology has it going through the Yutacan Channel. Though the recurving track is not readily supported by the latest model runs, but I'll go with because I like the idea of the storm riding the periphery of the subtropical ridge. |