No -- what you are seeing is an array of convection around an upper-level low off of the coast of Cuba, the one noted in my discussion from earlier today. It has an ominous look to it, but it's nothing at all -- really.

The real action is due south of there by about 500 miles, east-northeast of Belize. It is starting to become even better organized -- funny how the TWOs from the NHC keep emphasizing that with more and more superlatives, I guess -- and I think we may have another tropical cyclone on our hands before Sunday ends. Bets? Better than even odds at this point, I'm afraid, assuming it stays offshore long enough to get going. The better developed the system at landfall, the better of a shot it has at doing something in the Gulf. No models are really picking up on a tropical cyclone in the Gulf per se, but they don't always excel at this task.