Keith234
(Storm Chaser)
Sun Jul 03 2005 02:52 PM
Re: TD? and the Yucatan

Convection is increasing in all quads. , as the storm becomes a more symetrical warm core system. At this current track it would end up traversing the Yucatan Peninsula, and putting in the BOC-unless recurvature occurs. The fact is though the subtropical ridge has not really built over Florida, and the disturbance is too far away for any interaction with the shortwaves over the southeastern united states. Shear and dry air will be invading the BOC in the next 36 hours, so that could throw a b monkey wrench in the idea of a 'strong storm.' I don't believe the NHC has ran any new model runs as of 10'o clock...at least they have not been forwarded to my program.


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