Interesting commentary from the TLH discussion. You may interpret however you like, but I think it is a great reminder to not focus on the skinny black line...

BIG NEWS THIS AFTN WAS THE DESIGNATION OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE.
IT IS CURRENTLY ABOUT 140 MILES SOUTH OF COZUMEL MEXICO AND HAS
REMAINED NEAR STATIONARY OVER THE LAST SEVERAL HRS. IN A RECENT
UPDATE FROM THE NHC THEY STATE THAT IT MAY REACH TROPICAL STORM
STRENGTH BEFORE IT MVS INTO THE YUCATAN PENINSULA LATER TONIGHT OR
EARLY TOMORROW. THE LONG RANGE PATH FOR THE STORM TAKES IT INTO THE
UPR TX COAST BY LATER IN THE WEEK. THE RIDGE THAT WILL BUILD IN
OVER OUR AREA THE NEXT FEW DAYS SHOULD KEEP THE FLOW OVER THE
GULF FROM THE SOUTHEAST AND KEEP THE STORM IN THE WESTERN GULF. BUT
AS WITH ANY STORM...ANY INTERESTED PARTIES SHOULD REMAIN INFORMED
WITH THE LATEST UPDATES ISSUED FROM THE HURRICANE CENTER. FOR FURTHER
DISCUSSIONS AND GRAPHICS ON THIS STORM SEE HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV.

Discussion Link: http://www.srh.noaa.gov/fwd/productviewnation.php?pil=TAEAFDTAE&version=0

Quick P.S. for frequent readers who saw my pre Bret posts...While I was happy to see my thoughts play out with the florida trough pulling out, and the Texas Upper Low building a ridge...I admit to eating crow on my low level projections of a system forming north of the Yucatan last week. Sorry for the bad call folks.