note in the public advisory they say 'estimated' pressure. that's just what it is. i've checked some of the sfc pressures in the region.. 1014 or so is common.. so 1010 isn't a bad guess. recon will be there this afternoon for something more solid. still not sure why they haven't tasked a flight to the caribbean for tomorrow or wed... and also not sure why i haven't seen an invest on it (i mean, come on, we get invests on little puffs of convection east of bermuda, much less a strong wave with banding structure and a hairpin low on it's axis).
HF 1808z04july