some of the surface obs are reporting westerly winds on the islands off the north coast of venezuela. a low is closing off. nhc might drag it's feet on classifying it, but as of this afternoon it's developing. highest winds i've seen are easterly at about 20kt in the southern windward islands.
td 3 is mostly offshore.. and still has an elongated center. it looks like the center is along the north coast of the yucatan. right now it isn't in a position to rapidly organize, and i'll hold off on saying more until recon samples the area.
gonna be one hell of a week, looks like.
HF 2039z04july