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Too much model agreement, which factor in the initial forward speed to consider the non turn idea too seriously. The 'depression' is reassembling it self this morning and some convection is quickly building near the center... The general movement is north of due west and the expected increase in intensity will allow it to indeed go more wnw in the next 24 hours...it will slide nicely up into the Jamaica area. I can only depend on the models for this as far as tract and intensity...too much dynamic with the high ridge and the trough that will pickup Cindy...We'll need to look at that on Wed. night and Thursday a.m. to get a fix so to speak. That's what I'm going to do. |