Longtime lurker...may as well jump in.

The models seemed to change course with future Dennis this a.m....sure they will again as the days go by...although MM5 & I believe GFS still show Fl taking some sort of hit.

As far as the track being east of what NHC is calling for at the moment...just based on my obs from last year..TSFH...seems with the storms in the Gulf, landfall was more to the right & with Atlantic storms, landfall was more to the left.

With some of the model runs now that can be a big difference between taking a hit & just maybe having some rain.

Just hope people don't end up in denial & pay attention.