Folks...It all comes to timming, timming. It sounds to me like the wake left behind our TS is of less importance than the "Sharp shortwave". Not to put the fear in anyone, but the points to take from Stewart's discussion: That shortwave, the larger than average size of the system providing additional ridge breakdown, the shift of an e-w oriented high to one that is n-s, and the strength of the storm (which was mentioned before in poleward attitude). The NHC only strays to the extreme side of a guidance envelope when there is a confidently identifyable trend. Wouldn't be surprised to see the models come in line...and I wouldn't be shocked if the track shifted further east. Either way...Remember the 5-day error and keep the cone in mind.