I watch JB and while he maybe right, he always seems to depend on the European Forecast Model too much. While anyone could be correct at this point, I am not convinced his track record or his over inflated ego are impressive. I watch Joe simply for entetainment value, and basically that is what he is.. an entertainer. Stick with the NHC Forecasts. Like I said he could be right and there are many models that agree with him, but once a storm moves into the Gulf of Mexico, the forecast paths usually get a little mirky.. A lot can happen, weak steering etc.