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Read the discussion: there is definite uncertainty after 60 hours. The forecast track is a concensus of 5 models three to the right of the track and to to the left. Tomorrow night into Friday am model runs will pretty well nail it down. three primary factors: strength of the system, speed of the system across Cuba and int the GOM and..reinvigoration of the ridge to the North and East. This should not be a storm with direct effects on the SE or E coasts of Florida |