The NHC 5 day cone, which was updated at 11am Wednesday, does not have all of Florida in it.

With Charley you could "see" the path he was going to take. It was very evident on the WV maps/loop at the time that he probably wasn't going to make it as far north as Tampa before crossing the peninsula.

The climatology currently in place isn't exactly the same so a direct comparison between the two situations can't really be made. There is a high sitting next to Florida. It is forecast to dissipate a bit, but like the others have said, it's changing its "shape". How much it changes and/or weakens will play a role in where the northern motion of Dennis begins to increase. Dennis has moved much further west than north in the last 24hrs(2.1degreesN, 4.9degreesW), and, like usual, it's going to be a waiting game of sorts to see what sort of weather patterns setup for the next few days.

To everyone affected by Cindy, I hope you came through relatively unscathed. I think she got stronger than some thought she would.