Dougyd
(Verified CFHC User)
Thu Jul 07 2005 12:19 AM
Re: Hurricane Dennis in the Caribbean

I'm in the same boat, living on a canal on Sanibel.
I've been researching storm surges from archives and the records are awful. Many major hurricane descriptions do not mention surges at all. In other cases, they are estimates.

One of the problems is the SLOSH model, weather folks use, does not take into account the direction, forward speed, quadrant hitting a specific point, etc.

During Andrew, our storm surge was supposed to be 12-18 ft. Instead, since it hit south of us, the canals and bays emptied out!

You just need to pay attention to the specific hurricane and not pay much attention to the tv weathermen.
Doug


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