rmbjoe1954
(Weather Master)
Thu Jul 07 2005 01:09 PM
Re: FSU Superensemble

I agree. Many variables, such as climatology, speed,water surface temperature, sheering (or lack thereof) troughs, and ridges all are variables that computer models try to measure and extrapolate based on all current known facts. I have more respect for the NHC to interpret these models and have no reason to doubt their forecasted path-however, with that said- a hurricane can still surprise us where it will ultimately make landfall.


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