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cut and pasted from NHC....we all have to assume it's heading our way...cause the fact remains...it's too far away...everyone keeps thinking the next advisory...and they'll get a handle on it.....I am hearing it is changing easterly a bit... if this trend were to continue....it might easily track towards Tampa....just have to wait and see...but usually...it's down the middle somwhat....if it hits Pensacola, or Panama City...Mobile will suffer little, if any....however, any jog, slowdown..etc...can change things quickly.... this is a great site, learning a lot.... now, from the NHC discussion: EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY |