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well the past couple days the percentage of tampa being hit has increased steadily....first it was 5 , 7, 10 and now we are at a total of 18....i think im gonna start getting ready.... 
The strike probability you're referring to is actually the chance that the center will pass within 65 nautical miles(74 statute miles) of that location. Currently hurricane force winds extend 45mi from the center and t.s. force winds 140mi. The numbers will increase as time progresses, until the storm has passed the location, because the storm is getting closer. Unless the track shifts dramatically one way or another.
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Re: A Wobble NW