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from the disscusion. full at the home page. FIXES FROM RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT AND SATELLITE INDICATE THAT THE MOTION HAS BEEN MORE NORTHWESTWARD THAN WEST-NORTHWESTWARD. THE MID-TROPOSPHERIC RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF DENNIS IS APPARENTLY WEAKER THAN EARLIER PREDICTED. THIS MAY IN PART BE A RESULT OF ADDITIONAL STEERING FLOW INFORMATION OBTAINED FROM THE NOAA G-IV JET SURVEILLANCE MISSION LAST NIGHT. CONSEQUENTLY...SOME OF THE TRACK GUIDANCE...IN PARTICULAR THE GFDL AND GFS MODELS...HAVE SHIFTED TO THE RIGHT OF THEIR EARLIER SOLUTIONS. THIS NECESSITATES AN EASTWARD ADJUSTMENT OF THE OFFICIAL TRACK. ADDITIONALLY...THE AIRCRAFT DATA SHOW THAT DENNIS HAS STRENGTHENED AND THAT THE WIND FIELD HAS EXPANDED...ESPECIALLY TO THE NORTHEAST. THE NEW TRACK AND WIND FIELD FORECAST REQUIRES THE ISSUANCE OF WATCHES FOR EXTREME SOUTHERN FLORIDA AT THIS TIME. |