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I hate to say this...but I am starting to see a bit of a more northerly component...just watching the visible 1/2 hr loops.... perhaps the resumption of a more wnw track after the interraction with Jamaica finishes will occur...or perhaps it won't... The thing that makes the most sense to me is the post by Thomas Giella...that its a timing issue...with the rebuilding of a bermuda high..the hurricane could kick left...and if the high doesn't rebuild..and on and on... ...much more is going on in the atmosphere that a computer doesn't have, even much less understand...so the fact is...is that even now....Dennis could swing left or right of the "projected" path 250 miles...and that's an average mistake the models make this far out... Heck...what kind of assurance is that?....some........ my point is this....NO ONE is out of the woods with this hurricane. Let's just watch and see.... excellent posts...but I concur...we should leave this forum open...for any comments....it makes it more real.... |