I just watched the visible floater, this is what I see:

It appears to *my eyes* that it may just clip the part of Cuba where the 2nd "2"

is, then move more NNW towards the skinner (middle part of Cuba). Unfortunately, that gives it less mountainous areas to go through and more open water before it actually crosses over Cuba. From there, it *could* move straight through the middle of the Keys.
Just my own observation..might be wrong, might be right. We'll find out soon enough, I guess.
On another note: has anyone seen a close-up of this storm??? It's HUGE! Very scary...