"Dennis is then expected to move around the
western periphery of a subtropical ridge. Although this sounds
simple enough...the details of the turn around the ridge are
important for residents of Florida. In the latest model runs...the
GFS has shifted a little farther east and is now very close to the
GFDL track. These two models are the easternmost of the dynamical
suite. The U.K. Met. Office model remains well west of almost all
other guidance. Our forecast is adjusted only slightly to the east
and is very close to both the simple dynamical consensus track...
CONU...and to the FSU superensemble."

from the 5pm Discussion