What a shocker.......not only is the UKMET not going east with the rest of the models., but the Canadian that was always the eastern most now significantly moves Dennis almost inline with the UKMET near LA. A change of over 300 miles or more. The whole deciding movement now lies with the storm itself over the next 12 hours. IF Dennis moves more NNW thru the morning and comes out east of 81W then the Keys and Western Florida up to landfall south of Tallahasse will be impacted the most. IF he moves NW or WNW as the 2 models above show and just skirts the southern coast and doesnt go inland thru morning. Then he will apparently come out of Cuba closer to 82W or further west of course. This will then most likely then take him NW and NNW near Biloxi and Mobile later Sunday. Florida Keys will still get squalls and so will most of Florida but from Panama City westward will feel most of this system. The ridge by most models are showing it hanging onto the eastern parts of Florida as the shortwaves diminish entering the gulf. This will not hamper the ridge as much as we might of thought and now we understand why some models wernt showing a weakness in the ridge.
Again we wont know how this all comes together until it does over the next 12 hours. Lets watch and see.