| Kevin |
| (Weather Master) |
| Fri Jul 08 2005 09:53 AM |
|
Re: 5 AM Discussion~edited
|
Quote:
I have done a bit of research since my initial post concerning the effect of land masses on cyclones. It seems that topography is not a primary consideration. It is the time spent over a land mass that robs a hurricane of its energy source. Given this, the forecasters apparently believe that the storm will cross relatively quickly, but I assume there are other factors they are considering which may forestall the typical weakening we would expect from such a transverse. I just wonder what those other factors might be. Thanks for all your responses and insights!
Good morning, everyone.
One factor that was mentioned in last night's discussion, as an intensity factor, is the eyewall replacement cycle. These cycles can disrupt the pattern/organization of a hurricane's eye, leading the temporary weakening of the storm. In the long term, however, strengthening can occur from these cycles. At the same time, an eye replacment cycle over land could be messy. One of the mets could better explain the physical processes that accompany one of these cycles.