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Dennis is a strong Category 4 storm with 150MPH winds, and a unbelievably low barometric pressure of 938 mb... for July.. and the track takes it to the eastern Gulf and eventually toward the Panhandle to New Orleans regions Sunday night and Monday morning.
This radar shows a track that will take the storm to about 24N 84W. The track should miss Key West far enough West of Key West to spare them the brunt of the storm but due to the size, probably will feel some hurricane force winds. On that track also, looking at the map superimposed on the radar display, it would seem to confirm that the rest of South Florida whould not be affected directly, Thankfully. Once it does get to about 85W, the peninsula cand start to breathe easier unless Dennis starts to move NNE which doesn't seem likely at the moment. Trends are friends but my thought is that there are VERY few friends you would trust your life to. So, stay alert. I agree with Mike on this one, Louisiana is NOT out of the running for this booby-prize but with the weakening ridge to the East, I wouldn't bet against a landfall in the panhandle of Florida either. Wherever it goes, someone is going to be hurt, especially if unprepared for a storm of this magnitude. Good luck to all in the path.
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