I understand that there is that chance of the jet stream forcing a curve toward the north, but we are dealing with a powerful (who knows what category in the open gulf) hurricane that wouldn't follow conventional wisdom and allow the jet stream to turn it towards the west-central coast. Also, that trough may yet be a factor when the system gets into the SE GOM. The NHC has taken these events into account in determining the impact they will have in 48 hours.

I would wait to see what the models' solutions will look like when Dennis enters the GOM.