everything realistically still up in the air....isn't it....note this partial post from accuweather...
There continues to be different ideas on the exact track. The interaction with the higher terrain of Cuba could alter the hurricane's structure and cause it to react differently to the steering currents. The upper-level high pressure ridge has weakened over Florida and the eastern Gulf while a strong upper-level disturbance is now diving into eastern Texas. This will help to maintain a weakness in the upper-level wind flow over the central Gulf and Dennis will turn northward ahead of this weakness. If the Atlantic high pressure ridge fails to build farther west Dennis could track close to the west coast of Florida. If the upper-level high pressure ridge builds stronger to the west, then Dennis will be diverted more toward Louisiana. As far as intensity changes, Dennis is a Category 4 and should lose at least some strength over Cuba today and tonight. Once the storm moves back over the southeast Gulf it should regain some strength. It has been pointed out by various sources that the depth of very warm water is less over the eastern Gulf of Mexico and this might prevent Dennis from strengthening. However, this is all speculation.
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