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"UPPER-AIR DATA AT 12Z AND 18Z INDICATE THE MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ACROSS NORTH-CENTRAL FLORIDA HAS CHANGED LITTLE TODAY. ALSO...UPPER-AIR DATA INDICATE A COLD POOL OF -10C HAS DEVELOPED OVER NORTHERN LOUSIANA ALONG A 500 MB TROUGH AXIS...WHICH NONE OF THE MODELS INTIALIZED VERY WELL. THE COLDER AIR ALOFT SHOULD HELP CREATE A SLIGHTLY STRONGER MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL LOW THAN THE GLOBAL...GFDL...AND NAM MODELS ARE FORECASTING TO DROP SOUTH OF LOUSIANA OVER THE NOTHWESTERN GULF. THE RESULT SHOULD BE A DEEP- LAYER SOUTHEASTERLY STEERING FLOW REMAINING OVER THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS TRACK." Does anyone know what they are talking about from the 5pm discussion? They went a little above my expertise. |