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Long time lurker, first time poster....
18z GFS and GFDL are certainly intriguing. Keeping in mind the models daytime-west, nightime-east pattern, these tracks bringing Dennis slightly closer to Florida's WC and are definitely something to keep an eye on.
Yeah, I took a look at the 18Z GFS and it has the storm running up pretty close to longboat key and then turning NW to Destin. The 18Z GFDL has swung pretty far east too from its earlier runs, taking the storm no farther west than 85W until it turns sharply NW just before Cape San Blas & hits Destin. That's a little too close for my comfort sitting here on the GOM north of Tampa. I wouldn't be so worried, but these two models are some of the best and both shifted to the east from their 00Z and 12Z runs. Maybe Clark is right?
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Re: Dennis Over Cuba