This evening's GFS and GFDL runs are pretty interesting. The GFS moreso than the GFDL. I'm looking carefully at that GFS run, and it wants to take the storm NNW from h 18-30, and then turn it more NW. That takes the storm much closer to the West Coast of Florida than the previous GFS run. To be honest, though, I can't really justify picking one model over another this evening. Watching is simply the best thing that the public can do. Even if the 18Z GFS track does occur, the NHC's error cone seems to cover this possibility.

The storm has slowed slightly. I guess we are just being given a few more things to look at.