Frank P
(Veteran Storm Chaser)
Sat Jul 09 2005 02:37 AM
11:00 forecast summary

July 8, 2005, 9:11 pm
Quick notes from the 9:00 NHC conference call.. all of this will be "official" on the 10:00 pm advisory.

Winds down to 95 knots
Pressure up to 962 mb
Latest position 23.0 N 82.1 W
Moving 310 degrees (NW) at 12 knots
Little change in forecast movement and track
Model consensus is still around Mobile to Pensacola
Considerable degradation over Cuba; even though satellite presentation showed "significant degradation," the inner core is still tight, and thus should lead to a quick reintensification once back over water.


Models... GFDL and GFS are to the right of the NHC track; the UKMET is to the left

Bottom line is no real change to previous thinking....



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