Steve H1
(Storm Tracker)
Sat Jul 09 2005 11:40 AM
Re: models and probabilities

Knock it off Adogg - that is not relevant. I'm in Melbourne today and the weather is fine here. Lives don't come to a halt when a storm is 600 milrs away. A tornado can occur on any given afternoon in Florida. Back to Dennis, he's wrapping some strong convection back into his center, and I agree with a previous poster that the astern part of the eyewall is obsured. He's still heading slowly NW but hopefully won't stall, since that would allow the ULL to influence it before it has passed north of the Fl penisula. Feel bad for those in the path; certainly pensecola doesn't need another hit. Maybe it will weaken before landfall since the ridging won't be as stong to the north. When's the next blog due Ed? Inquiring minds want to know!!


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